Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 4.986023 5.921768 6.960260 8.194753 9.618559 11.205392 13.103877
2025-08-03 3.628656 4.832742 6.303937 8.219311 10.630940 13.549171 17.328099
2025-08-10 2.672188 3.927602 5.591965 7.928781 11.088307 15.170147 20.792926
2025-08-17 2.040548 3.273289 5.028742 7.658799 11.435257 16.586538 24.050487
2025-08-24 1.661662 2.880233 4.727701 7.654965 12.078312 18.392623 27.932209
2025-08-31 1.383146 2.575080 4.488542 7.677024 12.718483 20.207922 31.940896
2025-09-07 1.146589 2.286216 4.217904 7.592489 13.156977 21.731018 35.612853
2025-09-14 0.916191 1.958546 3.824582 7.240981 13.111219 22.482917 38.144779
2025-09-21 0.778356 1.772260 3.640992 7.207603 13.561298 24.022203 41.988427
2025-09-28 0.664713 1.609271 3.471170 7.168406 13.983079 25.531002 45.873734
2025-10-05 0.623478 1.587830 3.563708 7.615348 15.290466 28.598770 52.518634
2025-10-12 0.565891 1.518905 3.550889 7.856430 16.241700 31.121291 58.408580
2025-10-19 0.523859 1.479918 3.598399 8.230443 17.492415 34.290375 65.683249
2025-10-26 0.455605 1.363939 3.465656 8.224622 18.021384 36.219964 70.939014
2025-11-02 0.377153 1.203733 3.208978 7.924805 17.940865 37.027925 74.246540
2025-11-09 0.313481 1.066494 2.980685 7.652205 17.879086 37.852322 77.621318
2025-11-16 0.274470 0.988439 2.879817 7.647526 18.362523 39.736251 83.062464
2025-11-23 0.242084 0.921750 2.795810 7.669303 18.899978 41.756504 88.878615
2025-11-30 0.209466 0.845588 2.674203 7.584763 19.194952 43.311489 93.890414
2025-12-07 0.171519 0.740638 2.456240 7.233548 18.858121 43.560003 96.359276
2025-12-14 0.150128 0.686520 2.369514 7.200193 19.238010 45.301691 101.885313
2025-12-21 0.131380 0.636357 2.285115 7.161029 19.598301 47.022554 107.465025
2025-12-28 0.128063 0.644933 2.378275 7.607566 21.154300 51.387100 118.684812